The 2024 race is still close.
But then so was the 1980 Carter-Reagan race at this same juncture.
Indeed, incumbent president Carter was then comfortably up in the last two October Gallup polls - before utterly and suddenly evaporating on Election Day.
But in the last seven days, there seems a sense of panic in the Harris campaign.
How do we know that?
Why are Democratic pundits - from Axelrod to Carville - blasting the Harris campaign and otherwise warning of bad things to come?
Why are some of the once Democrat sure-thing senate races—e.g., in Ohio, Wisconsin, and even Michigan—tightening up?
Pundit poll-watchers are suggesting that Trump is close, even, or slightly ahead in the swing-state polls, suggesting that he is nearing a margin that could cancel out anticipated “ballot irregularities”.
The expected October Harris-Biden surprises - the opportune Fed interest rate cut, the transparently desperate Jack Smith beefed-up re-indictment, the current new Hollywood Trump-hit movie, the desperate Zelensky fly-in to Pennsylvania, the election-cycle customary Bob Woodward unsourced gossip book - seemed so far to have had no effect.
Why would any campaign send out the bumbling Tim Walz to a Fox Sunday interview after his disastrous debate?
Why is a suddenly smiling Biden so eager to claim candidate and VP Harris as a co-conspirator to his disastrous four years?
Why would Harris pivot and now agree to (admittedly mostly softball) interviews, thus confirming to the voting public why she wisely had previously avoided all press conferences, interviews, and town halls?
Why - after the last two moderator-rigged ABC and CBS debates - would Harris desperately want another and possibly believe that Trump would ever agree to any such warped forum?
The last 4-5 Harris scripted interviews, but especially on CBS’s 60 Minutes, have been train wrecks.
Everyone expected (and was not disappointed) the on-spec word salads, predictable sappy retreats to her misleading bio, the now accustomed deer-in-the-headlights confusion about her prior three years with Biden, and the general mush in lieu of any policy prescriptions.
Why would CBS think it worth ruining its already debased reputation by doctoring the transcript of the Harris disastrous interview in a vain attempt at Orwellian repair?
Why is a rusty but still narcissistic Barack Obama at last hitting the campaign trail?
And is he still effective—or reduced to becoming an Oprah-like caricature?
After all, is it wise for the elite Obama (in his now accustomed snarky “clingers” style) to venture out of his mansions (Kalorama? the Hawaii beachfront? or the Martha Vineyard estate?) to talk down to black males struggling under years of a hyperinflationary economy, a flood of illegal immigrants from an open border, and a four-year-spiking crime rate?
Does the Netflix grandee berating black men as victims of false consciousness, misled, and brainwashed into voting for the Trump agenda really win them over to Harris?
Does the hundred-million-dollar-plus man Obama persuade anyone by reverting for a few moments to his old community-organizing, fake black patois and his pseudo-racial intimacy of “brothers”?
And does it work for Obama (remember “when they go low, we go high”) to blast Trump as racist and crude, when Obama jokes that Trump wears diapers - this after previously suggesting at the Democratic convention that Trump suffered from small genitalia?
If this should continue, soon the July 21st coup that removed Biden, along with the Harris pick of Tim Walz, will go down as days of Democrat infamy.
Anything can happen in the next three weeks. But so far, the cures for the Harris slide are far worse than the malady itself.